Mekelakeya 2-3 Hadiya Hosaena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.7
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.26
Over 2.5
33%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.67
No
63%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
33%
-6.6pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
76%
-8.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
24%
+8.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
33%
+3.3pp
63%
BTTS No
67%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
2-3
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Hadiya Hosaena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena squeezed past Mekelakeya 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 65% of the ball to Hadiya Hosaena's 35%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Mekelakeya 2-3 Hadiya Hosaena in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 44%, draw 27%, Hadiya Hosaena 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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