Bala Town 1-0 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
19%
3.28
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
48%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.51
6+ Goals
7%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.9pp
19%
Draw
27%
-8.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.19/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.48
-11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-1 HT 0-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
25.08.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
31.03.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
03.03.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
18.02.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-1 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
28.01.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bala Town
1-0
AWAY Connahs Quay
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town edged past Connahs Quay 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 19% / 40% — and on the day Bala Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bala Town had 47% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 53%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bala Town and 1.00 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Connahs Quay?

Bala Town 1-0 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 42%, draw 19%, Connahs Quay 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bala Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bala Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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