Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yokohama F. Marinos v Avispa Fukuoka — Team-Based Signals
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
Yokohama F. Marinos
JAP
2-0
HT 2-0
Avispa Fukuoka
JAP
1-0
HT 1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
JAP
1-0
HT 0-0
Yokohama F. Marinos
JAP
2-0
HT 2-0
Avispa Fukuoka
JAP
1-3
HT 0-1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JAP
Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Actual Match Statistics
Avispa Fukuoka squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 72% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 28%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.34 to 0.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Yokohama F. Marinos.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.33 for Avispa Fukuoka.
What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 45%, draw 27%, Avispa Fukuoka 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.