Al Arabi 2-3 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -22%
1.13/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/3.05
-17% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
14.0 Crosses 13.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Rayyan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 340
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
04.02.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
15.10.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KATYK
11.08.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
19.02.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-4 HT 1-3 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
30.10.2021 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan nicked a narrow win over Al Arabi 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Arabi and 1.00 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Rayyan?

Al Arabi 2-3 Al Rayyan in the Qatar League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 42%, draw 26%, Al Rayyan 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
1 Mar 2024
18:00 Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa Analysis →
18:00 Al Sadd vs Qatar SC Analysis →