01/03/2024
·
12:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
FC Astana vs Zhenys Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
23%
Draw
20%
24%
Away Win
12%
49%
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 2.5
51%
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
55%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Astana v Zhenys — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Astana
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zhenys
EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+23%
/
-19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
412 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
281 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
FC Astana vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Astana got the better of Zhenys 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of FC Astana vs Zhenys?
FC Astana 2-0 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Zhenys?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 53%, draw 23%, Zhenys 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FC Astana)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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