Kaisar 1-3 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 1 Mar 2024

Kaisar
1-3 HT 0-1
Aktobe
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Kaisar vs Aktobe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaisar v Aktobe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.74/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.75
-38% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Kaisar vs Aktobe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aktobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
22.07.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
28.05.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
02.10.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 0-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
31.07.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
24.07.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 1-2 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZKK
14.05.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 1-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe saw off Kaisar 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aktobe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kaisar and 1.00 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs Aktobe?

Kaisar 1-3 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 33%, draw 32%, Aktobe 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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