Monarcas Morelia vs Cimarrones de Sonora Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v Cimarrones de Sonora — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs Cimarrones de Sonora Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-2
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
1-0
HT 1-0
Cimarrones de Sonora
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
0-1
HT 0-0
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
3-1
HT 3-1
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
2-0
HT 1-0
Cimarrones de Sonora
MEK2
Cimarrones de Sonora edged past Monarcas Morelia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Monarcas Morelia at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.17 for Cimarrones de Sonora.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Cimarrones de Sonora?
Monarcas Morelia 0-1 Cimarrones de Sonora in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Cimarrones de Sonora?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 54%, draw 21%, Cimarrones de Sonora 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.