Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Celaya — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-2
HT 0-1
Celaya
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
0-1
HT 0-1
Celaya
MEK2
Celaya got the better of Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.20 for Celaya.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Celaya?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-2 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Celaya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 23%, draw 20%, Celaya 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.