Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-8.2pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.89/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.43
+30% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.5 Crosses 14.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.10 xG 0.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
307 Passes 268
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
04.11.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
24.07.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
19.05.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.03.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 3-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
22.09.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 HT 0-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
2-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.12 xG 1.16
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
389 Passes 188
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cukaricki Stankom squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cukaricki Stankom as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 63% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 37%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.12 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cukaricki Stankom and 0.33 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs Napredak Krusevac?

Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 52%, draw 27%, Napredak Krusevac 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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