Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.68/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.35
+35% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.9 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0W-0D-3L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.54 xG 0.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
281 Passes 328
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 HT 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac HAZ
21.09.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
19.10.2022 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1-0
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.02 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
298 Passes 172
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac squeezed past IMT Novi Beograd 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 59% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 41%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.02 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.67 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 46%, draw 27%, IMT Novi Beograd 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac)
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