Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.31
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 25%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.18/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.18
-7% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
17.5 Crosses 8.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.08 xG 0.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
306 Passes 322
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.09.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
08.02.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD1
07.09.2022 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-2
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.57 xG 0.88
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 9
269 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh squeezed past Al Akhdoud 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Akhdoud at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 49% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.57 to 0.88 — on chances, Al Akhdoud could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Akhdoud had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Akhdoud and 0.67 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh?

Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 46%, draw 26%, Al Riyadh 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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