Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.19
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.72
6+ Goals
9%
6.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-2.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.02/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.62
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +30%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
482 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
25.4 Crosses 12.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
457 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-4 HT 3-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.05.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
23.04.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SAKK
05.01.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
23.05.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
08.03.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
3-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.21 xG 0.28
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
448 Passes 186
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh beat Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 66% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 34%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.21 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.17 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 60%, draw 21%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
1 Mar 2024
17:00 Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh Analysis →
17:00 Abha vs Al Taee Analysis →