Stourbridge 0-1 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.31/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.95
-20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spalding United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.01.2025 Spalding United Spalding United 2-1 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United nicked a narrow win over Stourbridge 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stourbridge at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Spalding United?

Stourbridge 0-1 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 41%, draw 26%, Spalding United 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stourbridge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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