Spalding United 2-1 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Jan 2025

Spalding United
2-1 HT 0-1
Stourbridge
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Spalding United vs Stourbridge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spalding United v Stourbridge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.72/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.44
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United nicked a narrow win over Stourbridge 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Spalding United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Stourbridge?

Spalding United 2-1 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 36%, draw 27%, Stourbridge 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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