Chertsey Town 2-1 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Jan 2025

Chertsey Town
2-1 HT 1-1
Poole Town
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Chertsey Town vs Poole Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chertsey Town v Poole Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.99/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.84
+21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Chertsey Town 2-1 Poole Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
2-1
AWAY Poole Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chertsey Town edged past Poole Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Chertsey Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 51% of the ball to Poole Town's 49%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?

Chertsey Town 2-1 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 40%, draw 29%, Poole Town 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chertsey Town), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
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