Hebburn Town 2-3 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
2.17/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.83
+24% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebburn Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Morpeth Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.09.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Hebburn Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebburn Town
2-3
AWAY Morpeth Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hebburn Town vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town nicked a narrow win over Hebburn Town 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hebburn Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hebburn Town had 60% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 40%, shots finished 18-4.

What was the final score of Hebburn Town vs Morpeth Town?

Hebburn Town 2-3 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebburn Town vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebburn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hebburn Town 48%, draw 29%, Morpeth Town 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hebburn Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hebburn Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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