Hebburn Town vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hebburn Town v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals
Hebburn Town vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Hebburn Town 2-3 Morpeth Town — Actual Match Statistics
Morpeth Town came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Hebburn Town 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hebburn Town at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Hebburn Town had 60% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 40%, shots finished 18-4.
Hebburn Town vs Morpeth Town Result & Final Score
Hebburn Town 2 - 3 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hebburn Town vs Morpeth Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hebburn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hebburn Town 55%, draw 25%, Morpeth Town 20%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hebburn Town) went the other way.