United of Manchester 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Jan 2025

United of Manchester
1-1 HT 0-1
Gainsborough Trinity
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

United of Manchester v Gainsborough Trinity — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.76/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.26
+13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United of Manchester
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
02.12.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 HT 0-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 HT 1-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
19.11.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-3 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
12.02.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-2 HT 2-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
06.11.2021 United of Manchester United of Manchester 3-2 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP

United of Manchester 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United of Manchester
1-1
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United of Manchester and Gainsborough Trinity shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was United of Manchester at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, United of Manchester had 58% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 42%, shots finished 15-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, United of Manchester had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for United of Manchester and 1.67 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity?

United of Manchester 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 44%, draw 26%, Gainsborough Trinity 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (United of Manchester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (United of Manchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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