United of Manchester 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2024

United of Manchester
2-0
Gainsborough Trinity
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.7pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.6pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

United of Manchester v Gainsborough Trinity — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.70/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.54
-5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United of Manchester
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 HT 0-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 HT 1-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
19.11.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-3 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
12.02.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-2 HT 2-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
06.11.2021 United of Manchester United of Manchester 3-2 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
POST-MATCH United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United of Manchester beat Gainsborough Trinity 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had United of Manchester as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, United of Manchester had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for United of Manchester and 2.00 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity?

United of Manchester 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 52%, draw 19%, Gainsborough Trinity 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (United of Manchester), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (United of Manchester) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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