03/02/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Stourbridge vs Stamford Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
27%
Draw
25%
30%
Away Win
33%
60%
Under 2.5
42%
40%
Over 2.5
58%
43%
BTTS Yes
60%
57%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stourbridge v Stamford — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Stourbridge
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stamford
EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
1.50/1.42
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.99/2.03
-5%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+39%
/
-26%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
312 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
364 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
Stourbridge vs Stamford Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Stourbridge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Stamford
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
44%
Ball Possession
56%
5
Total Shots
20
2
Shots on Target
9
4
Corners
5
4
Yellow Cards
0
The Meetings
23.09.2023
Stamford
3-0
HT 2-0
Stourbridge
İNGNLP
3-0
HT 2-0
Stourbridge
İNGNLP
POST-MATCH
Stourbridge vs Stamford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Stourbridge and Stamford shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Stourbridge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Stamford?
Stourbridge 1-1 Stamford in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Stamford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 44%, draw 27%, Stamford 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stourbridge), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Stourbridge)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
3 Feb 2024