Margate 1-4 Dulwich Hamlet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Margate EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dulwich Hamlet EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Margate
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Dulwich Hamlet
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
11.11.2023 Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet 2-2 HT 0-0 Margate Margate İNGNLP
17.09.2022 Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 HT 1-0 Margate Margate FAK
POST-MATCH Margate vs Dulwich Hamlet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dulwich Hamlet swept aside Margate 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Margate at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dulwich Hamlet led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Margate and 2.00 for Dulwich Hamlet.

What was the final score of Margate vs Dulwich Hamlet?

Margate 1-4 Dulwich Hamlet in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Margate vs Dulwich Hamlet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Margate win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Margate 48%, draw 27%, Dulwich Hamlet 25%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Margate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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