Lancaster City 1-0 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.21/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.89
-28% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Matlock Town
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.01.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 0-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
24.09.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
05.02.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
23.10.2021 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-2 HT 0-1 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City edged past Matlock Town 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lancaster City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Lancaster City and 1.00 for Matlock Town.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Matlock Town?

Lancaster City 1-0 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 40%, draw 23%, Matlock Town 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lancaster City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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