Conquense 2-1 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.7pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.79/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.80
+39% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Conquense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
19.10.2024 Colonia Moscardo 0-2 HT 0-1 Conquense Conquense İS4
POST-MATCH Conquense vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense squeezed past Colonia Moscardo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Conquense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Conquense vs Colonia Moscardo?

Conquense 2-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Conquense 42%, draw 29%, Colonia Moscardo 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Conquense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Conquense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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