Arenas de Getxo 1-2 Real Sociedad III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-15.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+13.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.4pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
2.03/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.82
+24% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad III
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 0.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
240 Passes 229
62% Pass Accuracy 62%
32 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 0-2 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
18.02.2024 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 2-2 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
07.10.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
12.02.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-1 HT 1-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
24.09.2022 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
09.04.2022 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
1-2
AWAY Real Sociedad III
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs Real Sociedad III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad III edged past Arenas de Getxo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arenas de Getxo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 66% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 34%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arenas de Getxo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arenas de Getxo and 0.83 for Real Sociedad III.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs Real Sociedad III?

Arenas de Getxo 1-2 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs Real Sociedad III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 52%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad III 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Arenas de Getxo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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