Real Sociedad III 2-2 Arenas de Getxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.44
Over 2.5
42%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.38/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.97
+27% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.9 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.59 xG 0.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
154 Passes 265
52% Pass Accuracy 61%
1 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
12.02.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-1 HT 1-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
24.09.2022 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
09.04.2022 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
21.11.2021 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
2-2
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
0.98 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
304 Passes 215
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
9 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs Arenas de Getxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad III and Arenas de Getxo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 53% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 47%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.98 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad III had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Real Sociedad III and 0.40 for Arenas de Getxo.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs Arenas de Getxo?

Real Sociedad III 2-2 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs Arenas de Getxo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 31%, draw 31%, Arenas de Getxo 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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