Montijo 0-2 Mensajero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montijo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mensajero EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.02/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.03
-7% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montijo
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Mensajero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
08.10.2023 Mensajero Mensajero 1-1 HT 1-1 Montijo Montijo İS4
13.02.2022 Montijo Montijo 2-2 HT 0-0 Mensajero Mensajero İS4
08.12.2021 Mensajero Mensajero 1-0 HT 0-0 Montijo Montijo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montijo
0-2
AWAY Mensajero
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montijo vs Mensajero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mensajero got the better of Montijo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Mensajero found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Montijo had 38% of the ball to Mensajero's 62%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mensajero led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montijo and 1.33 for Mensajero.

What was the final score of Montijo vs Mensajero?

Montijo 0-2 Mensajero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montijo vs Mensajero?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mensajero win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montijo 36%, draw 24%, Mensajero 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mensajero), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mensajero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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