Cartagena II 0-1 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.2pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.9pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Orihuela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Orihuela Orihuela 2-0 HT 1-0 Cartagena II Cartagena II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena II
0-1
AWAY Orihuela
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cartagena II vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela edged past Cartagena II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (27% / 36% / 37%) promised a tight game; Orihuela found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cartagena II had 60% of the ball to Orihuela's 40%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Cartagena II vs Orihuela?

Cartagena II 0-1 Orihuela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena II vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cartagena II 27%, draw 36%, Orihuela 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orihuela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orihuela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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