La Union Atletico 2-0 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 43%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.25/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.13
+22% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 3-1 HT 3-1 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
2-0
AWAY UCAM Murcia
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico got the better of UCAM Murcia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day La Union Atletico made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 40% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 60%, shots finished 15-17.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia?

La Union Atletico 2-0 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 32%, draw 31%, UCAM Murcia 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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