Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
47%
+6.2pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 27%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.97/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.43
+56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-2 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS4
09.08.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II HAZ
14.02.2021 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
14.11.2020 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
04.01.2020 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II squeezed past Deportivo Alaves II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves II's 41%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 0.20 for Deportivo Alaves II.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 53%, draw 23%, Deportivo Alaves II 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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