Europa 2-1 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
3.94/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.55
+126% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Europa
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-2 HT 0-2 Europa Europa İS4
20.02.2022 Europa Europa 0-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
03.10.2021 Talavera CF Talavera CF 4-1 HT 3-0 Europa Europa İS4
POST-MATCH Europa vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa edged past Talavera CF 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Europa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Europa and 1.67 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Europa vs Talavera CF?

Europa 2-1 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Europa 56%, draw 23%, Talavera CF 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Europa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Europa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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