Deportes Limache 1-2 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Limache EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.92/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.13
-24% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
32.0 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Limache
1-2
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
0.35 xG 1.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
379 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportes Limache vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido squeezed past Deportes Limache 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Coquimbo Unido made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Deportes Limache had 55% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 45%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.35 to 1.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Coquimbo Unido's control.

What was the final score of Deportes Limache vs Coquimbo Unido?

Deportes Limache 1-2 Coquimbo Unido in the Chile - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Limache vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Limache win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportes Limache 40%, draw 25%, Coquimbo Unido 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Limache) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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