La Serena 1-0 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -2%
1.15/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.57
-20% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.5 Crosses 20.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Union Espanola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
264 Passes 328
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
15.04.2022 La Serena La Serena 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
25.09.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-1 HT 2-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
24.04.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
11.02.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
03.10.2020 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
1-0
AWAY Union Espanola
0.86 xG 0.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
355 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena edged past Union Espanola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day La Serena made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Serena had 54% of the ball to Union Espanola's 46%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 0.86 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for La Serena and 1.17 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Union Espanola?

La Serena 1-0 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split La Serena 35%, draw 28%, Union Espanola 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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