Mt Druitt Town 2-3 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mt Druitt Town EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 67%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.09/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.48
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses 22.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mt Druitt Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.33 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
316 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.07.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-0 HT 1-0 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town AVNPL
24.03.2023 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
17.06.2022 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
03.04.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-2 HT 1-0 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town AVNPL
01.05.2021 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
15.08.2020 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Mt Druitt Town vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden edged past Mt Druitt Town 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mt Druitt Town and 1.83 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of Mt Druitt Town vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Mt Druitt Town 2-3 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mt Druitt Town vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mt Druitt Town 23%, draw 21%, Rockdale Ilinden 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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