Valentine Phoenix 2-2 Belmont Swansea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.35
No
35%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
70%
-5.3pp
35%
BTTS No
30%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Belmont Swansea EU Bookmakers 37%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-43% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Belmont Swansea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valentine Phoenix and Belmont Swansea shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Belmont Swansea?

Valentine Phoenix 2-2 Belmont Swansea in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Belmont Swansea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belmont Swansea win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 38%, draw 22%, Belmont Swansea 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Belmont Swansea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belmont Swansea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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