Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.9pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.14/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.65
+31% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
21.5 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.89 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 Passes 247
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 3-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
03.03.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
22.10.2023 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2018 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 2-2 HT 2-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
2-1
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) edged past Perth Glory (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newcastle Jets (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 37% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 63%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.50 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 46%, draw 29%, Perth Glory (K) 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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