Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Mar 2024

Newcastle Jets (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Perth Glory (K)
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
2.36/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.30
+45% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
15.0 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.75 xG 1.63
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
241 Passes 287
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2018 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 2-2 HT 2-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
1-1
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
3.07 xG 0.58
61% Ball Possession 39%
40 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 4
437 Passes 236
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) and Perth Glory (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle Jets (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 61% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 39%, shots finished 40-6, expected goals 3.07 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.25 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 50%, draw 22%, Perth Glory (K) 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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