Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-0 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
2-0
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.44 xG 0.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) saw off Adelaide United (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 47% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 53%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.44 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-0 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 52%, draw 23%, Adelaide United (K) 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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