Grazer AK 1-2 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 1 Mar 2025

Grazer AK
1-2 HT 0-0
Austria Wien
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Grazer AK vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.38
1/2
5%
24.7
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
9%
8.16
X/2
20%
4.47
X/X
8%
4.64
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.52
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grazer AK v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 54%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.98/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.27
+24% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
21.0 Crosses 20.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Grazer AK vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Austria Wien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.63
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
247 Passes 498
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 26
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
15.02.2019 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AUK
25.11.2006 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-2 HT 2-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
01.10.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
18.07.2006 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
08.04.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU

Grazer AK 1-2 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-2
AWAY Austria Wien
0.41 xG 1.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
182 Passes 408
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien nicked a narrow win over Grazer AK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Grazer AK had 36% of the ball to Austria Wien's 64%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.41 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grazer AK and 1.33 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Austria Wien?

Grazer AK 1-2 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 27%, draw 23%, Austria Wien 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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