RSC Anderlecht II 2-4 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.21
Over Pick
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.19
2-3
39%
1.83
4-5
27%
2.78
6+
12%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RSC Anderlecht II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.45/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.49
+35% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
18.7 Crosses 23.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RSC Anderlecht II
1W-2D-0L
AWAY RFC Liege
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
387 Passes 300
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 37
17 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 3-3 HT 2-1 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
07.02.2024 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 1-1 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
29.10.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 0-2 HT 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RSC Anderlecht II
2-4
AWAY RFC Liege
1.67 xG 3.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
374 Passes 242
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RSC Anderlecht II vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege saw off RSC Anderlecht II 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day RFC Liege made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, RSC Anderlecht II had 57% of the ball to RFC Liege's 43%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.67 to 3.47.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RSC Anderlecht II had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RSC Anderlecht II and 1.33 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of RSC Anderlecht II vs RFC Liege?

RSC Anderlecht II 2-4 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RSC Anderlecht II vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a RSC Anderlecht II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RSC Anderlecht II 39%, draw 26%, RFC Liege 34%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RSC Anderlecht II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RSC Anderlecht II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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