RFC Liege 3-3 RSC Anderlecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II EU Bookmakers 26%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.44/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.35
-33% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
23.2 Crosses 10.8
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
0W-1D-1L
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
316 Passes 395
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
43 Box Touches 30
30 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2024 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 1-1 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
29.10.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 0-2 HT 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
3-3
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
2.59 xG 0.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 2
269 Passes 371
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs RSC Anderlecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege and RSC Anderlecht II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was RFC Liege at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, RFC Liege had 47% of the ball to RSC Anderlecht II's 53%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.59 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, RSC Anderlecht II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for RFC Liege and 1.50 for RSC Anderlecht II.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs RSC Anderlecht II?

RFC Liege 3-3 RSC Anderlecht II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs RSC Anderlecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 47%, draw 29%, RSC Anderlecht II 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RFC Liege) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ BTTS Yes
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