Roskilde 1-2 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.25
1/2
12%
23.85
1/X
10%
16.6
X/1
4%
9.89
X/2
22%
4.08
X/X
11%
4.97
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.13
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
20%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
54%
Away Win
56%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 60%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.13/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.90
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +39%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
11.8 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hillerod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.33 xG 0.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
392 Passes 475
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.08.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
05.06.2021 Hillerod Hillerod 2-3 HT 2-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
25.09.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
1-2
AWAY Hillerod
0.48 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
302 Passes 247
67% Pass Accuracy 62%
9 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod edged past Roskilde 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Roskilde had 53% of the ball to Hillerod's 47%, shots finished 3-12, expected goals 0.48 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roskilde and 1.67 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Hillerod?

Roskilde 1-2 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 19%, draw 27%, Hillerod 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ BTTS Yes
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