Hillerod 2-0 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.54
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 25%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -22%
2.04/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.73
+14% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Roskilde
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.06.2021 Hillerod Hillerod 2-3 HT 2-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
25.09.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
2-0
AWAY Roskilde
0.86 xG 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
475 Passes 392
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod saw off Roskilde 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hillerod had 54% of the ball to Roskilde's 46%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.86 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hillerod and 1.50 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Roskilde?

Hillerod 2-0 Roskilde in the Denmark 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 52%, draw 26%, Roskilde 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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