Kolding IF 1-0 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 28% vs market 18.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
12%
4.09
X/2
12%
9.35
X/X
12%
5.79
2/1
6%
21.2
2/2
13%
6.72
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-14.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.7pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.68/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.01
+19% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
24.4 Crosses 11.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.66 xG 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 379
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
06.04.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 4-0 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
05.11.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
22.09.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
20.11.2020 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
13.09.2020 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-1 HT 0-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
1-0
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.99 xG 0.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
21 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
289 Passes 442
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF squeezed past FC Fredericia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kolding IF as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kolding IF had 42% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 58%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.99 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kolding IF's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kolding IF and 1.17 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs FC Fredericia?

Kolding IF 1-0 FC Fredericia in the Denmark 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 41%, draw 29%, FC Fredericia 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Under 2.5
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