Hobro IK vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hobro IK v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals
Hobro IK vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
HB Koge
DAN1
0-2
HT 0-0
Hobro IK
DAN1
0-2
HT 0-2
HB Koge
DAN1
1-3
HT 0-2
Hobro IK
DAN1
0-1
HT 0-1
HB Koge
DAN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Hobro IK
DAN1
Hobro IK 2-1 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics
Hobro IK squeezed past HB Koge 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Hobro IK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Hobro IK had 47% of the ball to HB Koge's 53%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.05 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hobro IK's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hobro IK and 0.83 for HB Koge.
What was the final score of Hobro IK vs HB Koge?
Hobro IK 2-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs HB Koge?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 55%, draw 25%, HB Koge 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.