Lee Man 1-2 Hong Kong Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - FA Cup, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
68%
-20.7pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.9pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 17%
-97% / -97% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-57% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
410 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
28.09.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 2-1 HT 1-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
17.04.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-3 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
20.01.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-4 HT 0-2 Lee Man Lee Man HONSAP
28.12.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 3-2 HT 2-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HKKK
02.12.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 3-4 HT 1-3 Lee Man Lee Man HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
1-2
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Hong Kong Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong Rangers nicked a narrow win over Lee Man 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lee Man at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lee Man had 53% of the ball to Hong Kong Rangers's 47%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lee Man and 1.17 for Hong Kong Rangers.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Lee Man 1-2 Hong Kong Rangers in the Hong Kong - FA Cup on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 48%, draw 25%, Hong Kong Rangers 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lee Man) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →