Omiya Ardija (K) 2-1 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
0.23/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-75% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
24.03.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
2-1
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija (K) nicked a narrow win over Nojima Stella (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Omiya Ardija (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 37% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 63%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Omiya Ardija (K) and 0.00 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 2-1 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nojima Stella (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 33%, draw 30%, Nojima Stella (K) 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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