Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 24 Mar 2024

Omiya Ardija (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Nojima Stella (K)
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Japan - WE League Women's – 2023/2024

Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Omiya Ardija (K) win — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.7pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Omiya Ardija (K) v Nojima Stella (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -31%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija (K) nicked a narrow win over Nojima Stella (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Omiya Ardija (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 62%, draw 22%, Nojima Stella (K) 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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