Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) nicked a narrow win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 52%, draw 24%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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