Newington Youth 1-2 Limavady United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
42%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.44
2-3 Goals
32%
1.87
4-5 Goals
32%
2.71
6+ Goals
7%
7.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+8.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
42%
Away Win
54%
-12.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Limavady United EU Bookmakers 58%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.77/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-42% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Limavady United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.11.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 4-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
14.09.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-0 HT 0-0 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Limavady United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United squeezed past Newington Youth 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Limavady United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Limavady United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Newington Youth and 2.00 for Limavady United.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Limavady United?

Newington Youth 1-2 Limavady United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Limavady United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 31%, draw 27%, Limavady United 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Limavady United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Limavady United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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