Institute FC 1-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.74/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.91
-14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
14.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
10.02.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
24.11.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
16.09.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
29.04.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC edged past Ballinamallard United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Institute FC and 0.33 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Institute FC 1-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 54%, draw 24%, Ballinamallard United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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