Institute FC 2-1 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.72/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.00
-13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
10.02.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
24.11.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
16.09.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
29.04.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
21.03.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC squeezed past Ballinamallard United 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Institute FC and 0.50 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Institute FC 2-1 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 41%, draw 27%, Ballinamallard United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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